Posts tagged ‘Sanjeev Nanda on current finance trends’

July 5, 2010

Sanjeev Nanda – Technical Analysis

Sanjeev Nanda – Technical Analysis

Technical analysis is a method of predicting the share price movements with the help of price graphs or charts. Price movement is the only criteria to predict future prices of stocks in technical analysis. A technical analyst is not concerned with the fundamental strength or weakness of a company, the prevailing economic situation, corporate performance or Government policies.

The realtime demand and supply for a particular stock determines the price of that particular stock at that particular time. Markets are manifestation of human psychology and they are driven by the emotional forces of fear and greed. These emotional forces influence and determine the demand and supply of stocks. Since the traders’ emotions and estimations change continuously for many reasons, the price of stocks will also fluctuate accordingly as per the demand and supply forces. These fluctuations serve as basis for technical analysis to predict future price movements.

Demand for any stock increases if the traders’ hope of profits increase. Supply of stocks increases if the traders’ fear of loss increases. The imbalance in demand and supply forces result in rise and fall of stock prices. Stock prices rise sharply if the demand for stock increases and stock prices fall rapidly if the supply for stocks increase.

Technical analysis is best suited for day traders since day traders are not concerned about the short term, medium term or long term price movements. With the help of technical analysis, a Trader can easily understand the demand and supply forces for a stock, the stock price trend and other factors to exactly predict what is going to happen to the price of the stock within few minutes or hours.

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June 24, 2010

Sanjeev Nanda – Evaluating Costs for Buying a Home

Sanjeev Nanda

 

Planning to Buy a Home

 

Evaluate the Costs:

In order to understand the financial nuances of buying a home, there are a number of things that we need to understand; for eg knowing the various types of costs involved in the home buying process:

  • down payment
  • closing costs like registration & stamp duty
  • equated monthly instalments (EMIs) for home load repayment
  • renovation expenses
  • insurance
  • property tax
  • maintenance
  • operating expenses

 

Cost fact sheet:

  • types of costs as stated above
  • higher interest costs due to time over-runs, additional charges by builders and new taxes by the government constitute the hidden costs
  • to cover hidden costs, provide for about 25 percent of the cost of a built up area for a ready to occupy home and more than 40 percent for a home under construction
  • for meeting home acquisition costs, especially for down payment, save in systematic investment plans (SIP) of balanced and debt funds, besides recurring deposits (RD), depending on your risk appetite and the timing of your home purchase
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June 22, 2010

Sanjeev Nanda – Buying a House

Sanjeen Nanda

 

The Process of Buying a House

  1. Deciding to buy a house
    • define your housing needs. Spell out your needs and prioritise them
    • Identify costs. Find out the evident and hidden costs while making the home-purchase
    • Determine your affordability. Based on your savings for your home and the loan you can afford to repay.
  2. Getting Prepared
    • Learn the rules. This involves understanding relevant tax and housing regulations
    • Plan your home loan. Get a fix on your home loan needs, the loan costs and plan for it.
    • Risk proof your home. Plan for risk coverages for your life, your house and its contents.
    • Raise the down payment. Tap your savings prudently.
  3. Spotting your dream home
    • Collect property information
    • Evaluate appropriateness of properties
    • Negotiate the best deals
  4. Getting the right home loan
    • Organize informtion for lenders
    • Shop for the loan; choose the lender
    • Seek sanctioning of the loan
    • Apply for loan disbursal
    • Close the loan process
  5. Completing the purchase
    • Set a closing date for the purchase
    • Get the home loan agreement
    • Keep payment receipts and copies of documents
    • Insure your home; enhance life and accident covers
    • Get the title of the property in your name and get the purchase transaction registered.

and…. Congratulations! you become the proud owner of your house…your HOME… easier said than done… ALL THE BEST!

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June 18, 2010

Sanjeev Nanda – Top Stock Market Brokers

Sanjeev Nanda

Top Online Stock Brokers in Canada

You aren’t stuck having to trade with your bank or full service stock broker if you reside in Canada. There are other options.

You don’t have to utilize extremely dated technology and suffer from extremely slow fills. You don’t have to pay an arm and a leg for commissions, when there are much cheaper alternatives available to you.

Here are three very viable options that you should definitely check out:

1. Questrade. Questrade is a great online brokerage that is Canadian-owned and operated (they are based out of Toronto). One can easily vouch for the company. They have always handled questions and concerns in a timely fashion, and their clients are very pleased with their trading software package. Their commission rates are reasonable. and one would never have an issue with downtime or a bad fill.

Questrade has a promotion ongoing in which they will give you up to $50 in free commissions when you open up an account. Take advantage of this promotion by following this link.

2. OptionsXpress – Don’t let the name fool you – OptionsXpress is one of the most highly rated online stock brokerages in the world. Highly recommended. According to their website, OptionsXpress has been voted “best online broker” by Barron’s four out of the last five years. OptionsXpress is a publicly traded company that has been in business for many years. The company proudly serves customers from all over the world, including Canada. Strong customer service and a plethora of different offerings for its customers. Extremely quick account set-up process.

3. Interactive Brokers. Interactive Brokers really started the trend of offering their customers rock-bottom commissions. The company has been around for years now, and is a publicly traded company. Their software package is very bare-bones, but that is a large part of their appeal – they forego the bells and whistles in order to offer their customers the very lowest in commission rates. They charge $0.01 per share, with just a $1.00 minimum. If you are a very active trader who trades 100-500 share lots in most situations, then you will save a small fortune by trading through IB. The company offers an IB “Universal” account, which allows customers to trade over 70 markets worldwide through just one account. Stocks, options, futures, forex, ETFs, bonds – you can do it all through your IB account. Interactive Brokers is very bare-bones, very customizable and very cheap.

Remember – you aren’t stuck with your current broker! Within a week you can be set up in a much better situation – one that gives you much better tools with which to trade and is much easier on your wallet.

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June 18, 2010

Sanjeev Nanda – Norwegian Tax System

Sanjeev Nanda

Norwegian Tax System

Norway has been brought up quite a bit in the American media as of late. Why is this small (population of less than 5 million people) Scandinavian country such a popular topic of conversation?

First off, Norway is being used by many advocates of health care reform in the United States as an example of how health care should be delivered in a country. Everyone is covered by universal health care in Norway.

Second, many people point to Norway as a shining example of how a government should manage its finances. Norway is in phenomenal shape in terms of its finances, with the country being able to boast of an extremely low unemployment rate (3.0%) and approximately $400 billion dollars USD in its government pension fund.

Michael Moore included a 10 minute segment on Norway as an extra on his “Sicko” DVD. Moore extols the virtues of the Norwegian system, giving a long laundry list of all of the perks that Norwegian citizens are entitled to.

The country of Norway is one of the wealthiest in the world per capita, and they also have one of the highest standards of living of any country in the world. How is this possible, and how is the government able to provide so many perks to its citizens?

Norway has significant resources (they are one of the world’s largest exporters of oil, natural gas and seafood) and the government has majority or full ownership of the largest operators in the Norwegian oil fields, and that any “surplus wealth” from Norwegian petroleum income is invested straight into the government pension fund.

Norwegian government has large ownership stakes in many important companies that operate in the country – as a matter of fact, the government has majority stakes in nearly 1/3rd of all publicly-listed companies in the country.

Here are some of the major components of the Norwegian tax system. Most of this information is from a publication from KPMG called “Tax Facts Norway 2009: A survey of the Norwegian Tax System”.

1. Income Tax.

Income tax is charged at a flat rate of 28% on net income.

A 9% surtax is charged on gross income if you earn between the equivalent of $73,641 – $119,662 USD, while a 12% surtax (on gross income) is charged if you earn anything over that.

In addition, taxpayers must make social security contributions based on whatever they make over $6,612 USD. 7.8% of any salary made over this amount goes towards social security contributions. Pension income is charged at a lower 3.0% rate.

2. Value Added Tax.

A Value Added Tax (or VAT) is charged on the sale of most goods and services in the country.

The general rate is 25%. A reduced rate of 14% applies to the sale of food and drink, while an even lower rate applies to hotel lodging, cinema shows, public transportation services and broadcasting charges.

The 14% rate does not apply to eating out at a restaurant. So, if you decide to take the family out for a dinner that ends up costing the equivalent of $100 USD, be prepared to pay an extra $25 in taxes (before the tip, of course).

3. Wealth Tax / Net Asset Tax.

Norwegians must pay an annual “wealth tax” on their net “worldwide assets”.

There is an exemption (up to the equivalent of $78,483 USD), with any amount over that being subjected to a 1.1% “wealth tax”.

In order to figure out how much you would pay, take the total worth of your assets (house, cash in the bank, etc) and subtract any liabilities (mortgage, etc).

As mentioned, there is an exemption up to 470,000 NOK (which works out to $78,483 USD) – any amount over that, and you are paying a 1.1% wealth tax.

As far as I am aware, this includes houses, cash in the bank, etc.

4. Property taxes.

Norwegian municipalities can choose to impose a property tax of between 0.2-0.7% on the total “fiscal value of the property”. Not all Norwegian municipalities choose to levy this tax.

5. Death / Inheritance Tax.

Children, foster children and parents of the deceased pay a progressive rate for an inheritance or death tax. Here are the USD equivalents:

First $78,483 – Nothing
Next $55,105 – 6%
Anything Over $133,589 – 10%

“All other beneficiaries” pay this rate:

First $78,483 – Nothing
Next $55,105 – 8%
Anything Over $133,589 – 15%

These are five major taxes that apply to the average citizen of Norway.

There are obviously also corporate taxes (which is a flat rate of 28% of taxable profits), but we won’t get into that here.

According to Forbes magazine, Oslo, Norway is the 14th most expensive city in the world to live in, just behind Paris and Milan.

As a whole, Norway is one of the most expensive countries in the world to live in, according to various cost of living indexes.

Source: KPMG.no – Tax Facts Norway 2009: A survey of the Norwegian Tax System

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June 16, 2010

Sanjeev Nanda – A Peep in the Currency Museum

Sanjeev Nanda – A Peep into the Currency Museum

The Currency Museum explores some of the many fascinating tales in the history and evolution of money. Find out more about the intriguing development of money through the ages. See different and unusual currencies from other countries and times past, such as shells, glass beads, tea bricks, and precious metals like gold, silver, and bronze. Discover the unique history of Canadian notes, coins, and tokens. Discover just how money can talk!

Explore at http://www.currencymuseum.ca/home/about/

 

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June 15, 2010

Sanjeev Nanda – Tax Saving Options

Sanjeev Nanda

Tax Saving Options / Tax Saving Schemes

There are lots of financial schemes available in India. Many of them provides you guaranteed returns, high interest rates, tax savings under various sections of Indian Income Tax Act and much more benefits.

 These financial plans not only provide you money growth but also provide you with financial security at various steps in your life.

It depends on your needs which product suits you best:

What are your requirements? i.e. short term or long term planning;

 How much risk you can take? i.e. you need assured returns or not. [less risk less returns];

 How would you like to invest? [one time savings or regular savings];

 How much do you know about the product? i.e. are you aware of pros and cons of your investment? For an example if you are looking for short term savings then you can invest your money in post offices , government bonds, mutual funds, and if you are concentrated to long term savings then public provident funds (PPF ), life insurance, long term bank deposits (FDs, RDs) can help you. Bank Savings 1. Bank Fixed Deposits, [Term Deposit]

In a Fixed Deposit Saving Scheme a certain sum of money is deposited in the bank for a specified time period with a fixed rate of interest. When you want to invest your hard earned money for a longer period of time and get a regular income, Fixed Deposit Scheme is ideal. It is SAFE, LIQUID and FETCHES HIGH RETURNS. Loan / Overdraft facility is available against bank fixed deposits. Now many banks don’t charges for premature withdrawal.

Recurring Deposits Under a Recurring Bank Deposit Saving Scheme, investor invests a specific amount in a bank on a monthly basis for a fixed rate of return. The deposit has a fixed tenure, at the end of which you get your principal sum as well as the interest earned during that period. Recurring Deposit provides you the element of compulsion to save at high rates of interest applicable to Term Deposits along-with liquidity to access that savings any time.

Government Tax Savings RBI Bonds, or RBI Relief Bonds RBI Bonds are tax saving bonds that have a special provision that allows the investor to save on tax. These Bonds are instruments that are issued by the RBI. The interest is compounded half-yearly. Maturity period of RBI Bonds is five years, and interest received is tax-free in the hands of the investor.

Post Office Savings

■Post Office Time Deposits

■Post Office Recurring Deposits

■Post Office Monthly Income Scheme [Post office MIS ]

■National Savings Certificates [NSC ]

■National Savings Scheme [NSS]

■Kisan Vikas Patra – [KVP ]

■Public Provident Funds [PPF ]

Other Savings Options

1. Infrastructure Bonds, Infrastructure bonds are available through issues of ICICI and IDBI, brought out in the name of ICICI Safety Bonds and IDBI Flexibonds. These provide tax-saving benefits under Section 88 of the Income Tax Act, 1961, for the investor. You can reduce your tax liability by upto Rs 16,000 per annum

2. Company Fixed Deposits Fixed deposits in companies that earn a fixed rate of return over a period of time are called Company Fixed Deposits. Financial institutions and Non-Banking Finance Companies (NBFCs) also accept such deposits.

3. Life Insurance: Life insurance saving schemes for government owned Life Insurance Corporation of Indiaand other private life insurance companies like Bajaj Allianz, Birla Sun Life Insurance, HDFC Life Insurance, ICICI Prudential and more. Tax Rebates under Indian Income Tax Act Specified Investment Schemes u/s 80C

■Life insurance premium payments

■Contributions to Employees Provident Fund (EPF) / GPF

■Public Provident Fund (maximum Rs 70,000 in a year)

■National Saving Certificates including accrued interest. [NSC]

■Unit Linked Insurance Plan (ULIP)

■5-Year fixed deposits with banks and Post Office

■Repayment of Housing Loan (Principal)

■Senior Citizens Savings Scheme (SCSS)

■Equity Linked Savings Scheme (ELSS)

■National Pension Scheme (NPS)

■Tuition Fees including admission fees or college fees paid for Full-time education of any two children of the assessee (Any Development fees or donation or payment of similar nature shall not be eligible for deduction).

■Infrastructure Bonds issued by Institutions/ Banks such as IDBI, ICICI, REC, PFC etc.

■Interest accrued in respect of NSC VIII issue.

Deduction under section 80 CCC(1)

This section allows a deduction of up to Rs. 10,000 to an individual in respect of contribution to ‘Pension’ scheme of LIC of India or any other Insurance Co. Tax saving Pension plans available in market are LIC’s Jeevan Suraksha, ICICI Pru Life Time Pension, Aviva Life Pension Plus, Max Easy Life policy, Tata AIG’s Nirvana Plus etc. Section 80 CCE Aggregate deduction u/s 80 C, u/s 80 CCC and 80 CCD can not exceed Rs. 1,00,000. ( One Lac)

Deduction under section 80D.

Under This section, a deduction up to Rs 10,000 (Rs 15,000 in case of senior citizens) is allowed in respect of premium paid by cheque towards health insurance policy, like “Mediclaim”. Such premium can be paid towards health insurance of spouse, dependent parents as well as dependent children.

Deduction under section 24(b)

Under this section, Interest on borrowed capital for the purpose of house purchase or construction is deductible from taxable income up to Rs. 1,50,000 with some conditions to be fulfilled.

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June 14, 2010

Sanjeev Nanda – Telecom Stocks

 

Telecom stocks falter in a firm market

The key benchmark indices pared gains after hitting fresh intraday highs in early afternoon trade. The BSE 30-share Sensex was up 170.67 points or 1.01%, off close to 40 points from the day’s high. Firm Asian stocks also supported the domestic bourses. Data showing a stronger-than-expected industrial production growth in April 2010 also underpinned sentiment. FMCG and IT stocks rose. Index heavyweight Reliance Industries (RIL) jumped. But, telecom stocks fell. The market breadth was strong.

The BSE Sensex regained the psychological 17,000 mark at the onset of the trading session on firm Asian stocks. The market held firm in morning trade. The market extended gains in mid-morning trade on reports of strong industrial production growth in April 2010. The market pared gains in early afternoon trade.after hitting fresh intraday high.

Industrial output rose much faster than expected at 17.6% in April 2010 from a year earlier on strong consumer demand and government spending, data released by the government today showed. The March’s annual growth rate was revised upwards to 13.9% from 13.5%. Manufacturing output rose 19.4% in April 2010. The industrial output rose 10.4% in the 2009/10 fiscal year (April-March), faster than the 2.6% clocked in the previous fiscal year.

Asian stock markets rose Friday, buoyed by optimism that the global economy could weather Europe’s debt crisis after China’s exports surged and U.S. jobless claims fell. The key benchmark indices in Japan, China, South Korea, Indonesia, Hong Kong, Taiwan and Singapore rose by between 0.42% to 1.7%.

Latest data showed China’s consumer inflation accelerated to a 19-month high in the year to May while industrial output and fixed-asset investment growth moderated, sending mixed signals about the state of the world’s third-largest economy.

US index futures reversed initial losses. Trading in US index futures indicated that the Dow could rise 3 points at the opening bell on Friday, 11 June 2010.

US Stocks jumped on Thursday in response to signs of health in the euro debt markets and as investors accumulated energy shares crushed in the previous day’s sell-off. The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped 273.28 points, or 2.76% to 10,172.53. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rose 31.15 points, or 2.95% to 1,086.84. The Nasdaq Composite Index gained 59.86 points, or 2.77% to 2,218.71.

A US government reported before the opening bell that the number of new filings for unemployment benefits fell less than expected last week, while the international trade deficit widened slightly in April, pointing to a moderate economic recovery.

Back home, on the macro front, the food price index rose 16.74% in the year to 29 May 2010, higher than the previous week’s annual reading of 16.55% as fruits and potato prices rose, data released by the government on Thursday, 10 June 2010, showed. The fuel price index climbed 14.23% compared with an annual rise of 14.14% in the previous week.

India’s monsoon delivered normal rainfall in the past week, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) said on 10 June 2010. Rainfall in the seven days to 9 June 2010 recovered to normal after an initial hiccup when cyclone Phet hindered the advance of the June-September monsoon, which irrigates 60% of farms in India. The IMD in its update on Thursday said Southwest monsoon has advanced into some parts of Konkan & Goa, south Madhya Maharashtra and north interior Karnataka, remaining parts of coastal and south interior Karnataka, some more parts of Rayalaseema and coastal Andhra Pradesh.

The June-September monsoon rains hit Kerala on 31 May 2010, a day ahead of schedule. The south-west monsoon usually covers the entire country by mid-July. The weather office late April 2010 said rainfall is likely to be 98% of the long-term average. Good monsoon rains would help raise farm output, boost rural incomes and lower food inflation.

Last month, Australia’s weather bureau said the El Nino weather pattern was over. El Nino is caused by an abnormal warming of the eastern Pacific Ocean and can play havoc with weather patterns across the Asia-Pacific region

The south west monsoon is important for India as about 60% of the country’s farmlands are rain-fed and more than half of the workforce is employed in the agriculture sector. The quantum of rainfall in the crucial sowing month of July and distribution of rainfall during the monsoon season also holds key.

Data last week showed business activity remained strong for India’s vast services sector in May 2010, with a key gauge growing for a 13th consecutive month even as some momentum was lost over the previous month. The HSBC-Markit Business Activity Index stood at 58.2 in May 2010 from a 21-month high of 62.1 in April 2010. A reading above 50 indicates expansion. Services make up about 55% of India’s $1.2 trillion economy.

HSBC Markit Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), based on a survey of 500 Indian firms, surged to a 27-month high of 59 in May 2010 from 57.2 in April 2010, bolstered by steady growth in output, new orders and employment. The rate of growth had slowed in March 2010 and April 2010.

India’s economy grew at 8.6% in the March 2010 quarter driven by robust manufacturing sector on the back of government and consumer spending, data released by the government on Monday, 31 May 2010, showed. The growth was significantly higher than the revised 6.5% expansion in Q3 December 2009 and a 5.8% growth in Q4 March 2009. The manufacturing sector grew 16.3%, farm output rose 0.7%, mining sector expanded 14% and services increased by 8.4% in January-March 2010 quarter from a year earlier.

For the full year to March 2010, the economy expanded 7.4%, above a government forecast of 7.2%. Economic growth had slowed down to 6.7% in year ended March 2009.

HSBC Markit Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), based on a survey of 500 Indian firms, surged to a 27-month high of 59 in May 2010 from 57.2 in April 2010, bolstered by steady growth in output, new orders and employment. The rate of growth had slowed in March 2010 and April 2010.

India’s economy grew at 8.6% in the March 2010 quarter driven by robust manufacturing sector on the back of government and consumer spending, data released by the government on Monday, 31 May 2010, showed. The growth was significantly higher than the revised 6.5% expansion in Q3 December 2009 and a 5.8% growth in Q4 March 2009. The manufacturing sector grew 16.3%, farm output rose 0.7%, mining sector expanded 14% and services increased by 8.4% in January-March 2010 quarter from a year earlier.

For the full year to March 2010, the economy expanded 7.4%, above a government forecast of 7.2%. Economic growth had slowed down to 6.7% in year ended March 2009.

Investors will eye the first installment of the corporate advance tax payment which will give some clue about Q1 June 2010 corporate results. The first installment of corporate advance tax falls due on 15 June.

Meanwhile, the Union Cabinet on Thursday deferred a decision to sell stake in state-run Coal India and miner Hindustan Copper.

At 12:20 IST, the BSE 30-share Sensex was up 170.67 points or 1.01% to 17,092.75. The Sensex rose 209.48 points at the day’s high of 17131.56 in mid-morning trade. The Sensex rose 71.99 points at the day’s low of 16,994.07 in early trade.

The S&P CNX Nifty was up 44.70 points or 0.88% to 5123.30.

The BSE Mid-Cap index rose 0.51%. The BSE Small-Cap index rose 0.81%.

The market breadth, indicating the overall health of the market, was strong. On BSE, 1824 shares advanced as compared with 819 that declined. A total of 100 shares were unchanged.

From the 30 share Sensex pack, 26 rose and rest fell.

Index heavyweight Reliance Industries (RIL) rose 2.31%, with the stock gaining for the third straight day. RIL announced during market hours today its sixth oil discovery in exploratory block in the Cambay basin in Gujarat.

Meanwhile, RIL is reportedly considering buying a stake in shale gas assets owned by Pioneer Natural Resources in the United States. Pioneer has about 310,000 acres of shale gas acreage in the Eagle Ford region in South Texas.

Recently, reports had suggested RIL may foray into various fields such as telecommunications sector, nuclear energy and may make its first big-ticket investment in coal-fired power plants. In May this year, the two Ambani brothers, Mukesh and Anil called off their non-compete agreements on all businesses other than gas-based power, enabling Mukesh Ambani to enter in these spheres

Reliance Infrastructure fell 0.83%, on profit taking after the stock rose 5% on Thursday. Reliance Power’s wholly owned unit Reliance Coal Resources has entered into share purchase agreements to acquire the entire stake in the two coal companies in Indonesia. The two Indonesian companies own three coal-mines in Indonesia. The coal from these mines will be used in the Krishnapatnam ultra mega power project and other power projects of the group, Reliance Power said on Thursday. Reliance Infrastructure holds 44.96% stake in Reliance Power (as on 31 March 2010).

India’s largest listed mobile telecom services provider by sales Bharti Airtel fell 1.96% on profit taking. Bharti Airtel has reportedly won broadband spectrum in four circles. The Bharti Airtel stock had surged sharply over the past two trading sessions after company announced the completion of the acquisition of Zain Group’s (Zain) mobile operations in 15 countries across Africa for an enterprise valuation of $10.7 billion.

India’s second largest listed mobile telecom services provider by sales Reliance Communications fell 0.89%. India’s third largest listed mobile telecom services provider by sales Idea Cellular fell 0.54%

capital market

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June 11, 2010

Sanjeev Nanda – Worldwide Stock Exchanges

Sanjeev Nanda – a quick run through of stock exchanges worldwide

African Stock Exchanges

Asian Stock Exchanges

European Stock Exchanges

Middle Eastern Stock Exchanges

North American Stock Exchanges

South American Stock Exchanges

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June 10, 2010

Sanjeev Nanda – Investing in IPOs

Secondary market in equity is in the midst of a historic time period. In such a scenario it is but natural for the euphoria to pass on to the primary market. We have more and more companies coming out with IPOs or additional offers. And predictably enough, these issues have generated huge interest amongst the investors and raised thousands of crores. Practically all such issues have been hugely oversubscribed. And most of them have given huge listing gains to the investors.

One good thing about the IPO market vis-à-vis the earlier times has been that most of them have been from good companies and at reasonable prices. This trend, however, seems to be tapering off and we are increasingly seeing public issues from the relatively not-so-good or known companies and at fairly stretched prices.

Therefore, it becomes necessary for the investors to become cautious and be more selective about their investments in IPOs.

The four critical factors which need to studied in an offer document when making an investment decision are Promoter, Performance, Prospects and Price.

 

Check promoter standing
This by far is the most important factor in any investment decision. A good promoter or management team is important for any business success, especially over long periods. While businesses may have their ups and downs, a good management will take all necessary steps to ensure profitable performance. Secondly, they would be constantly looking at new business opportunities, thereby ensuring regular growth in the company. Thirdly, we are reasonably certain that the company money will not be deliberately misused or siphoned off to the detriment of the shareholders. 

Therefore, look at the promoter’s background, the experience he has in the industry, the performance of the other companies promoted by him, his track record, investor complaints etc. Read the risk factors very carefully especially those pertaining to the promoter/management. Check for any serious litigation against the promoter or the company. See whether the company is a defaulter to the banks/FIs and the reason thereof.

 

Study company performance
The share price is the reflection of the operational performance of the company. Poor numbers say the sales, profit, EPS etc. would mean poor performance on the stock exchange. Therefore, it is important that the company has a track record of good operational performance.

Look for any window dressing. Are the numbers in line with the similar companies in the industry? Is there any sudden improvement in the numbers just before the issue, without any justifiable reasons?

Also look at the performance of the group companies and the inter-company transaction within the group. Ensure that there are no dubious transactions. Look at the loans given to group companies. Are they paying reasonable interest? Is the loan likely to be repaid?

Understand future prospects
The future prospects of the Company and the industry would play an important role in the performance of the scrip on the stock exchange.  

Check the objects. How will they impact the future prospects? How will the funds raised be utilised? Will it additionally benefit the company? Is the money being raised for a new project, which will add to the bottomline of the company?

If its’ an offer-for-sale, it means the existing shareholders are selling a part of their stake in the Company. The amounts raised from the issue will not go to the Company. Therefore, the Company will not benefit from an offer for sale. If the purpose of the issue is to list the company on the stock exchange and the 4 Ps are positive, then one can consider investing.

Look at the price
Finally of course every product/scrip has a right price based on its’ fundamentals and industry prospects. Even if the above 3 Ps were favourable, a high price is likely to reduce the prospects of appreciation at the exchange, thereby defeating your purpose of investing.

Look at the average industry PE and the company’s EPS and try and estimate the fair price. Compare this with the issue price to see if it is undervalued or overvalued. Buy value nor price. A issues which are overvalued. Such issues tend to quote below issue price over a period of time and it may be prudent to enter then, than at the IPO stage.

For follow-on issues the price is more or less known. Therefore, there may not be much listing gain or loss. Again look for a fair valued or undervalued scrip.

A little time spent in reading the offer document and analysing the IPO on the above factors will help you to make right investment decisions and prevent you from ending-up holding a dud stock.

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